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AP Explains: What's next after Turkey seizes Syria's Afrin

Turkey's seizure of the town of Afrin in northern Syria is a significant military achievement for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan that gives him control over a large chunk of Syrian territory but also entrenches his troops as an occupying force in a crowded terrain packed with adversaries.

Turkey's seizure of the town of Afrin in northern Syria is a significant military achievement for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan that gives him control over a large chunk of Syrian territory but also entrenches his troops as an occupying force in a crowded terrain packed with adversaries.

Ignoring criticism by the United States and Europe of his eight-week military offensive, Turkish forces and allied Syrian militiamen swept into Afrin on Sunday, marching victoriously into the town's center and shooting in the air in celebration.

And it doesn't stop there, Erdogan says.

Emboldened, he vowed on Monday to expand military operations into other Kurdish-held areas in Syria and even into neighboring Iraq — a move that would potentially put his troops in direct confrontation with U.S. troops stationed nearby.

The main Kurdish militia, acknowledging defeat in Afrin, has vowed to turn to guerrilla warfare to confront Turkish troops.

Here's a look at Turkey's seizure of Afrin, and what lies ahead:

___

WHAT DOES ERDOGAN REALLY WANT?

At this point, that question is anyone's guess. Turkey has long backed rebels fighting to oust President Bashar Assad from power, opening its borders to foreign fighters to join the war in Syria.

But the war has greatly empowered Erdogan's No. 1 enemy, the Kurds, whose rag-tag fighters Turkey considers to be "terrorists" and an extension of its own Kurdish insurgency. In the chaos of war, the Kurdish fighters have partnered with the United States to fight the Islamic State group and carved out a huge autonomous region along the border with Turkey, amounting to a quarter of Syria's entire territory.

That has led Ankara to recalibrate its focus toward halting Kurdish expansionism.

Erdogan, who first launched military operations in Syria in 2016, has repeatedly said Turkey will not allow a "terror corridor" along its border and has vowed to push eastward in Syria after Afrin, to prevent the Kurdish militia from linking up territories it controls in eastern and western Syria. Turkey is home to some 3 million Syrian refugees, and Turkey has also said Afrin could be a place where those refugees would return to.

Afrin, a separate Kurkish-run canton cut off from the rest of Kurdish-held territory by a Turkish-held enclave, was an easy target.

But by pushing eastward as he is threatening to do, Erdogan risks overplaying his hand and getting bogged down in a fight bigger than Turkey can handle.

___

WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR THE KURDS?

It's a huge setback. Until a few months ago, Syria's long-marginalized Kurds were described as the biggest winners in Syria's civil war. They bragged of being the main ground force that ousted the Islamic State group out of its strongholds in Syria, including Raqqa, the extremist group's de facto capital.

But the Kurds' dream of self-rule is looking increasingly fragile. They have been historically used and cast aside, and may once again become the losers in the big powers' play over influence in Syria.

The Turkish offensive on Afrin, which began Jan. 20, has put the U.S. in a tough spot, juggling between the interests of the Kurds, its only ally in war-torn Syria, and its relations with Turkey, a key NATO ally. It did not move a finger to help the Kurds fight for Afrin.

The Kurds vowed to defend the enclave until the end, describing it as an existential fight to preserve their territory. They relocated hundreds of fighters from front lines with the Islamic State group to bolster the defense of Afrin.

In the end, they were no match for Turkey's NATO army's overwhelming firepower.

The Kurds lost more than 800 fighters in the 58 days of fighting for Afrin. An estimated 500 civilians were killed, and tens of thousands of Afrin residents streamed out of the town before the Turkish troops entered.

The Kurdish fighters also withdrew, ostensibly, to spare the remaining civilians.

___

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

A lot hinges on whether Erdogan goes ahead with his threat to expand military operations eastward, toward the town of Manbij and other areas east of the Euphrates River controlled by U.S.-backed Syrian Kurdish forces, and where U.S. bases are also housed.

While the U.S. was able to distance itself from the fighting in Afrin, it can't sit by silently if Turkey expands the fight to Manbij. Kurdish guerrilla-type attacks against Turkey and its Syrian allies could also jeopardize the U.S.-led mission to stabilize areas that have been captured from IS.

President Bashar Assad's response is also an open question. His forces are now preoccupied with recapturing eastern Ghouta, near Damascus, and other areas deemed more essential. But he has condemned Turkish "occupation" of parts of northern Syria and vowed to eventually recapture the region.

Another major question is whether the takeover would lead to ethnic cleansing of the Kurdish majority there. Images that emerged Sunday following Afrin's takeover bode ill for the future of the ethnically-mixed region. Afrin residents reported widespread looting and pillaging soon after Turkish troops and allied Syrian fighters marched into the town center Sunday.

Turkey, along with its Syrian allies, already controls large chunks of territory east of Afrin. But its presence there was more accepted than in Afrin because it chased IS militants from those areas.

Some 200,000 people fled Afrin over the past few days, and whether they will be permitted to return remains an open question.

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  • 22 Mar 2019
    A Victorian state school employee is being investigated after he brought firearms into class, baked a cake with a osrs gold swastika on it and let a student dress up in his Nazi hat.During a history lesson on World War II, the Dromana Secondary College employee also allowed students to play with a replica Zyklon B gas canister, which resembled one that would have been used to kill Jews. As some players know, RSorder is a professional and reliable OSRS Gold Store, it devotes its mind to RuneScape Gold service to all players. Our mission is providing Cheap and Safe RS 2007 Gold to our clients with high speed delivery. Players can buy RS 07 Gold very conveniently and simply. Before do any trade in the gaming market of Runescape, you should make one thing clear.Now The new version of Mobile is live, you can buy All RS products with mobile conveniently and quickly! The students were given Nazi uniform to wear.The items were part of his personal collection of military memorabilia. Students also handled rifles, helmets and uniforms once worn by Australian troops.The Education Department is investigating the incident, which it described as a "serious error of judgement". The employee, who is not a teacher, uploaded photos on Facebook showing students posing with rifles, wearing a cap with a Nazi eagle and inspecting the Zyklon B canister.A concerned individual then alerted the Anti Defamation Commission, a Jewish organisation which fights anti Semitism.The organisation's chairman, Dr Dvir Abramovich, said he was shocked and heartbroken. "Students deserve better than this and we have failed them," he said.The man brought in a wide range of military memorabilia.The man brought in a wide range of military memorabilia."The Holocaust, in which six millions Jews and millions of others were systematically murdered, should not be the subject of funny games, entertainment and dress up." He said at a time when white supremacist activities were on the rise in Australia, schools were supposed to be safe learning environments."Many lines of decency have been crossed here and most people would be at a loss for words to understand how thiscould have happened."In a Facebook post, the Dromana Secondary College employee said he decided to bake Hitler's favourite cake after watching a documentary about the Nazi leader's maid. A few days later he wrote that he brought the leftover cake into class. It's understood that the swastika was not apparent when the half eaten cake was shared with students.He also bemoaned how a student stole his Nazi badge. "Someone must've liked my NSDAP badge more than me and it's gone," he wrote next to an emoji of a crying face.The man is a member of a Facebook group that sells military items from World War I and II.Dromana Secondary College principal Alan Marr said the incident did not live up to the standards it expected of staff and it was investigating what happened and would take appropriate action. Happy April Fools' Day!Good Time to Win OSRS Gold/Runescape Gold&More with Up to 6% off&2X Loyalty Points from RSorder Mar.28-Apr.2?Ready to buy by http://www.rsorder.com/ with Code AFP6!! Long-Term Discount Code:7% off code SYTHE to buy 07 RS Gold&8% off Code NZP8 to buy 2007 RS Nightmare Zone Reward Points &10% off Code OSRSA10 to buy OSRS Accounts Anytime!
    13 Posted by Michael David
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    38 Posted by lolga vip
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    The loose version of Rocket Pass offers 29 beauty rewards which includes the Great White topper,B.B.Wolf sticker and Watermelon wheels.Players can improve to Rocket Pass Premium for 10 Keys for rocket league items access to 70 rewards inclusive of XP bonuses and Keys.It can be possible for Premium players to development beyond Tier 70 to earn additional Pro rewards.See the reputable F.A.Q.Underneath for similarly info. When the walking agenda changed into found out for episode five of Inside Xbox,Microsoft showed there might be an Xbox Game Pass declaration.While the announcement in all likelihood wasn't as large as humans had been looking ahead to,the team did monitor one more sport that could be joining this system immediately: Rocket League.Alongside the day before today's launch of Bomber Crew and modern-day release of Warhammer: Vermintide 2,this brings the total to ten new additions for the month of July. Game Director Scott Rudi additionally confirmed that a brand new Rocket ID machine will quickly be applied into the game to permit gamers to birthday party up with those on PC and Nintendo Switch.There will also be enhancements to how players stage as much as "make it more rewarding",in addition to the formerly introduced Rocket Pass. The Best Place to Buy Rocket League Items, Crates, Keys & Trading:https://www.lolga.com/rocket-league
    21 Posted by lolga vip
  • The loose version of Rocket Pass offers 29 beauty rewards which includes the Great White topper,B.B.Wolf sticker and Watermelon wheels.Players can improve to Rocket Pass Premium for 10 Keys for rocket league items access to 70 rewards inclusive of XP bonuses and Keys.It can be possible for Premium players to development beyond Tier 70 to earn additional Pro rewards.See the reputable F.A.Q.Underneath for similarly info. When the walking agenda changed into found out for episode five of Inside Xbox,Microsoft showed there might be an Xbox Game Pass declaration.While the announcement in all likelihood wasn't as large as humans had been looking ahead to,the team did monitor one more sport that could be joining this system immediately: Rocket League.Alongside the day before today's launch of Bomber Crew and modern-day release of Warhammer: Vermintide 2,this brings the total to ten new additions for the month of July. Game Director Scott Rudi additionally confirmed that a brand new Rocket ID machine will quickly be applied into the game to permit gamers to birthday party up with those on PC and Nintendo Switch.There will also be enhancements to how players stage as much as "make it more rewarding",in addition to the formerly introduced Rocket Pass. The Best Place to Buy Rocket League Items, Crates, Keys & Trading:https://www.lolga.com/rocket-league
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    15 Posted by Michael David
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    24 Posted by Michael David
  • The more you and your members play, the more points they get. All those points add up and improve your clan runescape gold rank and give you clan points. xBKforever EDIT: Also for every 500 exp you get in one server you get 1 clan points. You would then have to start back at 0 even if u went back into the same server. The fastest way to obtain clan points, however, is to clan war. (MORE) As some players know, RSorder is a professional and reliable OSRS Gold Store, it devotes its mind to RuneScape Gold service to all players. Our mission is providing Cheap and Safe RS 2007 Gold to our clients with high speed delivery. Players can buy RS 07 Gold very conveniently and simply. Before do any trade in the gaming market of Runescape, you should make one thing clear.Now The new version of Mobile is live, you can buy All RS products with mobile conveniently and quickly! Unfortunately, there are no maps you can buy in the game to aid you in finding the feathers. The best way to go about getting them is going to google and typing in Assassin's Creed feather maps. Crossing off the locations as you go is your best option. But be wary. If you miss even one and cross it off, you will have to go through them all over again. There is a reward for acquiring all of the feathers: The Auditore Cape. Unfortunately, if you wear it outside of Monteriggioni, you will immediately become notorious. (MORE)How do you join a clan in crossfire?How do you earn clan points in Crossfire?How do you join a clan on Crossfire?and u can also go into clan wars but u can only fight other clans if you are in one or are ranked high enough. (MORE) If you looked from the view points in each city, the shops will be located. Visit the D'arte shop and purchase a treasure map if one is available, if not, continue along the story, which is the only way to unlock certain parts of the city and other cities. Now, as for getting through those secret areas. I hope you are familiar with Prince of Persia structure climbing puzzles. When you have all six seals, take them through the secret bookshelf passage directly opposite the Codex Wall in the villa. Mario will open this area once you learn of Altair and take you down to the awesome and locked away Armor of Altair. Place the seals in their appropriate slots to unlock the gate and look swank in your new black robe. Which I don't really understand fully because, as I recall, even at the end of AC Is assassins creed brotherhood the same as assassins creed 2?It is essentially 2.5. Don't consider it a half as good as the old one because it is just as if they made a third, except they only start a new number with a new ancestor. They stayed on Ezio's case for another game to elaborate on his story. Either way it is an amazing game. (MORE)Is altair in assassins creed 2?Indeed he is. Altair isn't only the main character who was involved in the beginning of the storyline, he appears throughout the series. However as you should know, the main character II, Brotherhood, and Revelations is Ezio Auditore da Firenze. He has a dream of Altair and Maria (his lover) , during this period you can play as Altair. You can have a fight with one of the classic templar knights too with the new combat system which is quite fun. The dream ends when you have to take Leap of Faith into a haystack. (MORE) Only One Day!Ready to Get Free 200M OSRS Gold&1000M Runescape Gold from RSorder 11th Anniversary Flash Sale at 3:00 AM GMT on Mar.20?Know More on http://www.rsorder.com/rs-gold! Long-Term Discount Code:7% off code SYTHE to buy 07 RS Gold&8% off Code NZP8 to buy 2007 RS Nightmare Zone Reward Points &10% off Code OSRSA10 to buy OSRS Accounts Anytime!
    Mar 19, 2019 24
  • 19 Mar 2019
    ROCKET LEAGUE's different updates are smaller, however are nonetheless full of welcome changes and additions.A new area and more track are coming later this month, a few new top rate DLC and a summer season occasion will come in June, and the game will kick off an anniversary event in July. It's almost time to name up your buddies and head to rocket league items the virtual pitch: go-platform parties for Rocket League ought to be right here subsequent month.This facts comes from a post on the Rocket League website. In the put up, developer Psyonix explains that go-platform events will paintings thanks to a new machine referred to as RocketID.The developers desired to have RocketID out in time for this month's update, but the service didn't meet Psyonix' level of quality.RocketID must be available in September's replace, pending first-birthday party certification. Once RocketID is stay, players from pretty much every console will be able to be part of in a set collectively to play Rocket League.Participating structures include Xbox One, Switch and PC.More facts on RocketID might be released because the release date draws closer. Best Rocket League Items Store: Crates, Keys, Prices, Trading:https://www.rocketleaguefans.com
    26 Posted by lolga vip
  • ROCKET LEAGUE's different updates are smaller, however are nonetheless full of welcome changes and additions.A new area and more track are coming later this month, a few new top rate DLC and a summer season occasion will come in June, and the game will kick off an anniversary event in July. It's almost time to name up your buddies and head to rocket league items the virtual pitch: go-platform parties for Rocket League ought to be right here subsequent month.This facts comes from a post on the Rocket League website. In the put up, developer Psyonix explains that go-platform events will paintings thanks to a new machine referred to as RocketID.The developers desired to have RocketID out in time for this month's update, but the service didn't meet Psyonix' level of quality.RocketID must be available in September's replace, pending first-birthday party certification. Once RocketID is stay, players from pretty much every console will be able to be part of in a set collectively to play Rocket League.Participating structures include Xbox One, Switch and PC.More facts on RocketID might be released because the release date draws closer. Best Rocket League Items Store: Crates, Keys, Prices, Trading:https://www.rocketleaguefans.com
    Mar 19, 2019 26

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